Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | CREI -355 XAV +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +1 | 187 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -8.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (+34.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -6.7 (-5.7) | 147.9 (+39.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -7.7 (-6.7) | 150.1 (+36.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -7.1 (-6.1) | 147.6 (+39.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -6.8 (-5.8) | 148.1 (+38.9) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2025 | CREI 98 – 57 XAV |
| Mar 1, 2025 | XAV 83 – 61 CREI |
| Jan 30, 2025 | CREI 86 – 77 XAV |
| Feb 10, 2024 | CREI 78 – 71 XAV |
| Jan 24, 2024 | CREI 85 – 78 XAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | XAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 6-14 |
| Home | 10-6 | 12-6 |
| Away | 4-8 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 78.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 80.6 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#56) | 5.6 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#67) | 1.20 (#84) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#60) | 1.84 (#74) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#68) | 0.549 (#83) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | XAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 13.4% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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