← All models

Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →

35–13 on winners spread MAE 9.5 48 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
South Florida @ UAB	-0.8	166.4	56%	82–69	✓
Wisconsin @ Penn State	-4.1	155.3	27%	98–71	✓
Merrimack @ Iona	+1.9	139.6	60%	60–61	✓
Milwaukee @ Robert Morris	+4.1	145.3	67%	76–88	✓
Quinnipiac @ Mount St. Mary's	-2.3	144.1	38%	77–62	✓
Niagara @ Fairfield	+9.9	135.3	85%	61–62	✓
Canisius @ Sacred Heart	+7.8	138.3	81%	66–69	✓
Marist @ Siena	-0.2	127.0	47%	50–69	✗
UNC Wilmington @ William & Mary	+0.2	144.8	52%	70–77	✓
Campbell @ Charleston	+3.1	153.1	75%	83–87	✓
Towson @ Elon	+2.1	138.4	60%	72–59	✗
Monmouth @ Hampton	+1.0	134.1	58%	63–65	✓
Hofstra @ North Carolina A&T	-8.2	146.8	23%	78–79	✗
Stony Brook @ Northeastern	+4.6	145.9	72%	95–80	✗
South Alabama @ James Madison	+1.3	139.6	60%	90–83	✗
Southern Miss @ Georgia State	+0.3	141.8	52%	62–69	✓
Arkansas State @ Georgia Southern	-2.1	160.6	37%	85–68	✓
Texas State @ Coastal Carolina	+2.2	140.9	57%	70–72	✓
Eastern Kentucky @ North Florida	-5.4	158.6	38%	85–87	✗
Bellarmine @ Jacksonville	+3.7	135.2	73%	77–70	✗
Western Illinois @ Morehead State	+9.0	139.1	83%	66–71	✓
North Dakota @ Oral Roberts	+0.7	146.8	61%	79–62	✗
Little Rock @ Southeast Missouri State	+5.8	139.3	72%	65–70	✓
Tennessee Tech @ Lindenwood	+8.9	144.2	81%	68–89	✓
Eastern Illinois @ Southern Indiana	-0.4	134.8	48%	59–51	✓
South Dakota State @ St. Thomas-Minnesota	+5.6	149.6	73%	69–74	✓
North Dakota State @ Denver	-4.7	153.3	30%	82–77	✓
Cal Poly @ UC Santa Barbara	+7.1	153.4	78%	67–107	✓
UC San Diego @ UC Davis	-2.8	149.1	37%	80–74	✓
Weber State @ Montana	+3.5	151.7	72%	65–81	✓
Idaho State @ Montana State	+4.1	143.4	71%	62–74	✓
Sacramento State @ Idaho	+9.4	157.0	86%	76–86	✓
Portland State @ Eastern Washington	-2.4	149.9	42%	65–61	✓
Tennessee State @ SIU Edwardsville	+0.2	140.1	48%	66–74	✓
Missouri State @ New Mexico State	+8.6	142.2	80%	84–75	✗
Florida International @ UTEP	-1.8	144.3	41%	77–83	✗
Long Beach State @ Cal State Fullerton	+3.9	154.9	68%	61–71	✓
UC Irvine @ UC Riverside	-7.1	142.1	22%	80–66	✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Hawai'i	+14.1	142.9	88%	71–98	✓
UL Monroe @ App State	+13.5	144.1	88%	43–59	✓
East Carolina @ North Texas	+11.7	134.0	82%	63–59	✗
Mercyhurst @ New Haven	+0.6	126.7	52%	61–57	✗
Stetson @ Austin Peay	+13.6	146.1	88%	65–73	✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Lipscomb	+7.4	155.7	81%	71–86	✓
Kennesaw State @ Louisiana Tech	-2.7	140.0	39%	76–82	✗
Furman @ UNC Greensboro	-4.1	146.5	38%	89–66	✓
Saint Louis @ St. Bonaventure	-9.3	153.0	22%	97–62	✓
Indiana @ Rutgers	-8.2	146.7	25%	82–59	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.