Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | IONA -105 MRMK -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +1 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -3.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (-22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -1.9 (-0.9) | 139.6 (-18.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -1.6 (-0.6) | 135.4 (-14.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -1.8 (-0.8) | 135.8 (-14.8) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -1.5 (-0.5) | 137.8 (-16.8) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | MRMK 88 – 86 IONA |
| Feb 23, 2025 | MRMK 77 – 70 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 17-3 |
| Home | 11-3 | 11-0 |
| Away | 6-8 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#229) | -4.0 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#188) | 0.25 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#193) | 0.13 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#177) | 0.523 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 27.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 58.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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