Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | IONA -110 MRMK -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +7 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | MRMK -1.1 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.6 (+20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -0.3 (-7.3) | 132.9 (+14.1) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -0.4 (-6.6) | 130.6 (+16.4) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -0.6 (-6.4) | 130.9 (+16.1) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -0.0 (-7.0) | 132.4 (+14.6) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | MRMK 88 – 86 IONA |
| Jan 23, 2026 | IONA 61 – 60 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 14-6 |
| Home | 7-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 64.2 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#277) | -2.7 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#248) | -0.37 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#266) | -0.47 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#259) | 0.519 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 28.4 |
| OREB / G | 14.6 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 38.3% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.4% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 61.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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