Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | UK -340 TEX +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +5 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | UK -7.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -4.5 (+0.5) | 152.5 (+12.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UK -6.3 (-1.3) | 148.2 (+16.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | UK -6.1 (-1.1) | 151.3 (+13.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -6.8 (-1.8) | 152.0 (+13.0) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2025 | TEX 82 – 78 UK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 12-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 81.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 17.4 (#26) | 13.2 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.23 (#40) | 1.60 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.95 (#41) | 2.75 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#63) | 0.527 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.69 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 37.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 36.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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