Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | TEX -195 UK +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +4 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | UK -1.8 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -0.1 (+3.9) | 159.0 (+1.0) | 52% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | TEX -0.2 (+3.8) | 156.8 (+3.2) | 56% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | TEX -0.3 (+3.7) | 159.3 (+0.7) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UK -0.1 (+4.1) | 159.9 (+0.1) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | UK 85 – 80 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-7 | 15-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 84.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 14.1 (#33) | 19.1 (#13) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#43) | 3.29 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.74 (#46) | 4.05 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#92) | 0.634 (#12) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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