Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | ASU -125 WVU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +12 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | ASU -0.1 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (-10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ASU -1.4 (-13.4) | 139.5 (-1.5) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ASU -1.2 (-13.2) | 140.2 (-2.2) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -0.7 (-12.7) | 140.5 (-2.5) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -1.1 (-10.9) | 140.6 (-2.6) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2025 | ASU 65 – 57 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 15-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.3 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#96) | 9.6 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#59) | 1.42 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#68) | 2.12 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#61) | 0.533 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 31.2% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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