That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
Big 12 Conference · Hope Coliseum · January 22, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WVU -8.5 Away covered
O/U 134.5 Under
Money WVU -500 / ASU +360
Model Predictions
Spread Total WVU win
Actual ASU +8 122 Lost
Massey WVU -8.2 (-16.2)
Massey Totals 135.0 (-13.0)
Bradley-Terry 87%
Weighted B-T 87%
Efficiency Plus ML WVU -6.5 (-14.5) 135.2 (-13.2) 74%
Baseline Tuned ML WVU -6.4 (-14.4) 131.3 (-9.3) 76%
Baseline ML WVU -7.0 (-15.0) 131.7 (-9.7) 76%
Baseline Plus ML WVU -6.6 (-14.6) 135.2 (-13.2) 77%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 22, 2026 WVU 7563 ASU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WVU ASU
Overall 19-13 13-20
Conference 10-10 4-16
Home 13-4 5-9
Away 4-7 3-8
Neutral 2-2 5-3
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L6
Avg Pts For 68.2 74.1
Avg Pts Against 64.8 76.8
Massey 14.3 (#33) 9.7 (#63)
Bradley-Terry 2.93 (#24) 1.67 (#60)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.26 (#29) 2.12 (#63)
RPI 0.623 (#24) 0.590 (#44)
Shooting & Four Factors WVU ASU
FG% 43.4% 44.3%
3PT% 34.8% 36.5%
REB / G 34.9 36.4
OREB / G 9.2 9.7
AST / TO 1.23 1.02
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.7% 52.1%
TOV% 16.3% 18.7%
ORB% 26.6% 28.2%
FT Rate 21.7% 25.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.4% 47.9%
Opp TOV% 19.7% 16.6%
DRB% 70.0% 69.8%
Opp FT Rate 23.0% 19.5%

Game Analysis

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