You scumbag, you maggot, you cheap lousy faggot "Fairytale of New York" - The Pogues
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–18 on winners spread MAE 8.2 55 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UNLV @ Fresno State -8.1 144.4 21% 52–51 ✓
Belmont @ Southern Illinois +1.3 153.8 56% 73–68 ✗
Idaho @ Eastern Washington +3.6 144.9 73% 73–75 ✓
UC Davis @ UC San Diego +14.7 134.2 88% 60–85 ✓
Elon @ UNC Wilmington +8.3 141.1 83% 81–70 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Chattanooga +4.6 143.5 72% 71–78 ✓
Akron @ Central Michigan -3.6 153.7 31% 85–82 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Mississippi Valley State -8.8 140.8 13% 82–70 ✓
Michigan State @ Illinois +5.7 156.9 72% 79–65 ✗
Kentucky @ Texas +0.2 156.8 56% 78–82 ✓
TCU @ Arizona State +4.0 139.5 64% 74–70 ✗
Princeton @ Yale +10.4 141.4 84% 57–84 ✓
Idaho State @ Montana State +2.0 138.4 63% 69–74 ✓
Marshall @ Louisiana -4.3 140.6 37% 68–79 ✗
Troy @ Arkansas State +4.6 139.9 68% 71–70 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Riverside +2.1 139.1 65% 69–81 ✓
Cal Poly @ Cal State Northridge +10.1 158.8 86% 85–89 ✓
Seattle U @ Tarleton State -6.3 130.0 35% 64–67 ✗
Omaha @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +8.4 154.6 81% 84–95 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Western Kentucky +2.8 149.8 64% 87–77 ✗
South Carolina @ Florida +14.9 144.1 89% 67–88 ✓
Utah Valley @ Southern Utah -6.2 141.0 26% 70–68 ✓
Kansas State @ BYU +7.5 148.0 78% 65–80 ✓
Weber State @ Montana +8.3 144.3 83% 58–65 ✓
Utah Tech @ California Baptist +9.8 145.0 85% 83–86 ✓
Liberty @ UTEP -1.7 135.6 45% 76–69 ✓
Florida International @ New Mexico State +5.5 135.6 74% 48–76 ✓
Kansas @ Utah -3.2 144.1 52% 67–74 ✗
Boise State @ San Diego State +3.0 129.4 66% 47–64 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Portland -5.8 146.2 35% 78–89 ✗
Pepperdine @ Gonzaga +23.6 157.3 91% 55–107 ✓
San Francisco @ San Diego -13.1 143.8 14% 84–61 ✓
Washington State @ Saint Mary's +13.8 138.5 87% 56–77 ✓
UC Irvine @ Hawai'i -5.2 137.7 33% 66–49 ✓
Memphis @ Wichita State -5.9 146.1 36% 79–84 ✗
Florida Atlantic @ Temple -0.9 163.7 46% 83–81 ✓
Siena @ Sacred Heart +1.6 146.9 62% 80–73 ✗
Michigan @ Ohio State +3.0 148.8 60% 86–83 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Canisius -7.2 136.9 22% 73–66 ✓
Bradley @ Drake +8.4 125.1 76% 61–59 ✗
Youngstown State @ Cleveland State +3.9 140.7 64% 68–60 ✗
South Dakota State @ South Dakota -6.1 163.7 26% 94–91 ✓
Iona @ Quinnipiac +6.9 145.2 76% 74–79 ✓
Manhattan @ Fairfield -1.5 147.4 45% 80–67 ✓
Marist @ Merrimack +3.9 123.8 63% 61–60 ✗
Rider @ Saint Peter's +3.5 127.9 58% 65–66 ✓
Creighton @ St. John's +7.6 140.5 82% 73–79 ✓
Missouri State @ UIC +6.0 142.4 76% 58–63 ✓
Nebraska @ Northwestern +2.4 140.9 57% 68–64 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Oakland +13.1 135.6 86% 83–93 ✓
Wright State @ Green Bay -7.1 146.8 31% 68–79 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Milwaukee +7.0 142.9 77% 70–92 ✓
South Florida @ UAB +8.1 156.2 79% 78–85 ✓
Utah State @ New Mexico +5.3 151.2 79% 79–82 ✓
Iowa @ Maryland +12.2 158.1 86% 75–101 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.