Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | BYU -360 KSU +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +15 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -7.7 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -7.5 (+7.5) | 148.0 (-3.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -5.4 (+9.6) | 149.2 (-4.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -5.9 (+9.1) | 150.7 (-5.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -5.6 (+9.4) | 149.0 (-4.0) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | BYU 105 – 91 KSU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BYU 83 – 73 KSU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | KSU 84 – 74 BYU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | BYU 72 – 66 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 9-11 |
| Home | 15-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 14.2 (#32) | 9.7 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#53) | 1.61 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#50) | 2.10 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#85) | 0.557 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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