Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | BYU -700 KSU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +6 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -15.2 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -10.9 (-4.9) | 143.0 (-5.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -11.5 (-5.5) | 144.4 (-6.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -11.5 (-5.5) | 144.9 (-6.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -11.8 (-5.8) | 145.5 (-7.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | BYU 105 – 91 KSU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BYU 83 – 73 KSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | BYU 80 – 65 KSU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | KSU 84 – 74 BYU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 16-2 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 19.7 (#5) | 8.0 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#32) | 1.49 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.62 (#32) | 1.80 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#43) | 0.563 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.81 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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