Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 168.5 Over |
| Money | BYU -675 KSU +490 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +14 | 196 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -11.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.0 (+27.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -11.6 (+2.4) | 161.8 (+34.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -10.7 (+3.3) | 161.3 (+34.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -10.2 (+3.8) | 160.3 (+35.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -10.7 (+3.3) | 162.4 (+33.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | BYU 83 – 73 KSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | BYU 80 – 65 KSU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | KSU 84 – 74 BYU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | BYU 72 – 66 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 3-15 |
| Home | 14-3 | 10-8 |
| Away | 3-6 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.5 | 79.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 81.8 |
| Massey | 17.4 (#22) | 5.9 (#98) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.91 (#23) | 0.94 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.54 (#26) | 1.22 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#26) | 0.498 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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