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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
40–11 on winners
spread MAE 8.7
51 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ole Miss
@
South Carolina
|
-4.9 | 134.4 | 30% | 67–61 | ✓ |
Mount St. Mary's
@
Iona
|
+13.8 | 137.7 | 85% | 54–74 | ✓ |
Texas Tech
@
West Virginia
|
+2.5 | 142.4 | 55% | 62–78 | ✓ |
Boston College
@
North Carolina
|
+9.2 | 138.2 | 79% | 61–85 | ✓ |
Wyoming
@
New Mexico
|
+6.6 | 149.7 | 73% | 76–87 | ✓ |
Lafayette
@
Colgate
|
+12.5 | 136.2 | 87% | 61–79 | ✓ |
La Salle
@
Duquesne
|
+4.5 | 145.6 | 67% | 81–70 | ✗ |
Georgetown
@
Villanova
|
+10.5 | 139.7 | 84% | 48–80 | ✓ |
Delaware State
@
North Carolina Central
|
+10.7 | 133.1 | 85% | 59–89 | ✓ |
LSU
@
Georgia
|
-1.7 | 137.7 | 36% | 72–67 | ✓ |
Louisiana Tech
@
Florida International
|
-3.5 | 140.6 | 32% | 81–76 | ✓ |
Minnesota
@
Nebraska
|
+6.3 | 138.2 | 75% | 78–75 | ✗ |
Stanford
@
Utah
|
+1.2 | 132.9 | 53% | 73–62 | ✗ |
Texas Southern
@
Alcorn State
|
+2.9 | 140.3 | 63% | 66–62 | ✗ |
UTSA
@
Rice
|
+4.8 | 154.8 | 71% | 71–72 | ✓ |
Saint Peter's
@
Rider
|
+4.0 | 125.1 | 61% | 70–62 | ✗ |
Oklahoma
@
Oklahoma State
|
+1.5 | 134.0 | 59% | 49–57 | ✓ |
Virginia Tech
@
NC State
|
+1.6 | 143.3 | 59% | 77–97 | ✓ |
Northern Arizona
@
Montana State
|
+7.1 | 138.3 | 77% | 78–85 | ✓ |
Oregon State
@
Arizona State
|
+9.7 | 129.6 | 82% | 57–63 | ✓ |
Miami (OH)
@
Toledo
|
+12.3 | 154.0 | 85% | 75–91 | ✓ |
Davidson
@
VCU
|
+4.1 | 131.8 | 72% | 53–71 | ✓ |
St. John's
@
Marquette
|
+7.1 | 156.4 | 77% | 70–72 | ✓ |
Wake Forest
@
Miami
|
+3.3 | 153.1 | 67% | 72–74 | ✓ |
Rutgers
@
Michigan
|
-0.6 | 131.5 | 46% | 62–50 | ✓ |
Iowa State
@
Baylor
|
+2.3 | 131.0 | 63% | 78–72 | ✗ |
East Carolina
@
South Florida
|
+1.3 | 138.4 | 55% | 73–58 | ✗ |
Mississippi State
@
Florida
|
-2.1 | 131.5 | 37% | 69–68 | ✓ |
Ohio
@
Ball State
|
-1.7 | 147.7 | 39% | 90–70 | ✓ |
George Mason
@
Saint Louis
|
+3.0 | 137.2 | 59% | 54–82 | ✓ |
Pittsburgh
@
Duke
|
+4.0 | 136.4 | 66% | 69–96 | ✓ |
Ohio State
@
Iowa
|
+2.0 | 149.4 | 60% | 73–69 | ✗ |
Colorado
@
UCLA
|
+7.8 | 131.1 | 81% | 69–80 | ✓ |
Providence
@
UConn
|
+5.8 | 145.4 | 72% | 66–73 | ✓ |
Colorado State
@
San Diego State
|
+7.8 | 132.8 | 81% | 61–64 | ✓ |
Prairie View A&M
@
Jackson State
|
-1.5 | 134.0 | 46% | 60–62 | ✗ |
SMU
@
UCF
|
+8.4 | 138.1 | 79% | 70–76 | ✓ |
California Baptist
@
Sam Houston
|
+6.7 | 125.5 | 78% | 51–64 | ✓ |
Cal State Bakersfield
@
UC Irvine
|
+9.4 | 125.4 | 83% | 51–75 | ✓ |
West Virginia
@
Kansas
|
+1.8 | 143.8 | 62% | 61–78 | ✓ |
Ole Miss
@
Tennessee
|
+13.5 | 127.1 | 87% | 55–70 | ✓ |
Northern Illinois
@
Kent State
|
+11.0 | 143.6 | 84% | 57–76 | ✓ |
Saint Joseph's
@
Dayton
|
+7.8 | 135.7 | 76% | 54–60 | ✓ |
San José State
@
Nevada
|
+4.2 | 129.6 | 64% | 81–77 | ✗ |
Washington State
@
Oregon
|
+1.0 | 131.8 | 52% | 70–75 | ✓ |
Grand Canyon
@
Seattle U
|
-1.4 | 138.1 | 46% | 84–79 | ✓ |
Hawai'i
@
Cal State Fullerton
|
+0.5 | 128.8 | 55% | 60–62 | ✓ |
Morgan State
@
Maryland Eastern Shore
|
+2.8 | 137.2 | 60% | 64–80 | ✓ |
Western Kentucky
@
Florida Atlantic
|
+10.4 | 143.0 | 84% | 51–75 | ✓ |
Penn State
@
Illinois
|
+2.5 | 140.1 | 63% | 79–76 | ✗ |
Buffalo
@
Akron
|
+4.8 | 145.8 | 69% | 77–101 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.