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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–23 on winners spread MAE 9.1 53 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Monmouth @ Iona	+1.9	152.9	57%	65–88	✓
Saint Francis @ Wagner	+6.5	136.6	75%	52–67	✓
Central Connecticut @ Long Island University	+7.9	142.6	80%	74–87	✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Northridge	-4.0	142.8	35%	80–88	✗
Cal Poly @ Long Beach State	+4.5	141.3	73%	69–74	✓
San Diego State @ Fresno State	-12.9	127.8	16%	75–57	✓
DePaul @ St. John's	+8.2	150.4	76%	88–83	✗
San Diego @ Gonzaga	+22.0	156.6	90%	69–106	✓
Virginia @ Duke	-1.2	130.8	60%	65–66	✗
Kennesaw State @ Lipscomb	+8.2	137.5	82%	63–77	✓
Marist @ Saint Peter's	+5.4	122.1	70%	51–50	✗
Colorado @ Oregon State	-6.9	132.0	26%	61–57	✓
Denver @ Kansas City	+10.6	125.3	83%	69–80	✓
North Dakota @ Omaha	-0.3	140.2	43%	81–69	✓
Green Bay @ UIC	+2.1	140.3	53%	69–59	✗
UC Riverside @ UC San Diego	-7.2	139.2	32%	82–83	✗
UC Irvine @ Cal State Fullerton	-5.2	142.7	29%	64–67	✗
South Dakota State @ North Dakota State	-0.2	138.9	51%	82–84	✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Murray State	+11.7	137.8	85%	62–89	✓
Utah @ Oregon	+5.4	135.5	75%	64–67	✓
Utah Valley @ New Mexico State	+2.3	142.2	65%	60–67	✓
California Baptist @ Grand Canyon	+9.4	139.1	81%	65–62	✗
Tarleton State @ Utah Tech	-3.1	138.9	39%	48–64	✗
California @ Washington	-0.7	135.0	51%	51–62	✗
Arizona State @ UCLA	+8.7	145.7	83%	79–80	✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Santa Barbara	+6.2	127.5	79%	44–63	✓
Rhode Island @ George Washington	-5.7	145.1	31%	70–78	✗
Siena @ Niagara	-1.4	127.8	47%	68–66	✓
Michigan @ Ohio State	+2.3	142.3	62%	92–87	✗
Cincinnati @ Houston	+14.4	134.1	86%	52–90	✓
Boston University @ Colgate	+16.2	152.7	90%	63–78	✓
Rider @ Quinnipiac	+2.5	143.6	60%	68–93	✓
Georgia Southern @ Coastal Carolina	+8.1	139.1	77%	55–65	✓
South Florida @ Temple	+0.6	131.3	55%	83–76	✗
Stony Brook @ UAlbany	+1.2	132.1	59%	59–67	✓
Sacred Heart @ St. Francis Brooklyn	+2.4	156.0	56%	88–82	✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Fairleigh Dickinson	-1.2	134.2	40%	74–61	✓
Binghamton @ NJIT	+4.5	136.0	65%	72–58	✗
Army @ Holy Cross	-5.7	145.5	30%	51–67	✗
Maryland @ Rutgers	+3.0	128.3	64%	68–59	✗
Davidson @ St. Bonaventure	+4.5	132.8	69%	58–69	✓
Bryant @ Merrimack	+0.2	143.7	46%	76–60	✗
Evansville @ Drake	+13.6	132.6	87%	71–85	✓
North Carolina A&T @ Florida A&M	+6.0	139.2	58%	70–63	✗
UNLV @ San José State	-10.3	138.2	16%	67–64	✓
Central Connecticut @ Long Island University	+8.1	143.2	80%	79–81	✓
Saint Francis @ Wagner	+6.6	133.2	76%	68–70	✓
Penn State @ Iowa	+9.1	152.6	83%	68–74	✓
Prairie View A&M @ Texas Southern	-0.0	135.6	39%	77–75	✓
Valparaiso @ Southern Illinois	+0.9	129.2	54%	66–65	✗
Little Rock @ UL Monroe	-2.0	130.5	43%	66–78	✗
Lehigh @ Loyola Maryland	+11.4	144.3	81%	76–72	✗
Navy @ American University	-1.0	139.2	37%	69–60	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.