And then my good friend Shaggy says "Come spend some time, family" "44/876" -- Shaggy & Sting
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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48–15 on winners spread MAE 11.3 63 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Boston University @ New Hampshire -3.0 131.4 32% 82–88 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Lamar +4.6 133.7 71% 57–49 ✗
California Baptist @ Utah +1.8 141.6 58% 85–91 ✓
UC Riverside @ Cal Poly +4.4 148.7 72% 88–84 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Villanova +17.7 145.0 89% 63–90 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Grand Canyon -5.2 141.6 30% 84–78 ✓
Florida State @ Houston +8.9 140.8 82% 67–82 ✓
Illinois @ Tennessee +1.3 144.5 54% 75–62 ✗
Ole Miss @ St. John's +17.0 152.9 88% 58–63 ✓
Montana @ North Dakota -2.1 144.7 38% 79–75 ✓
Northern Arizona @ North Dakota State +12.1 141.5 85% 68–69 ✓
Montana State @ Oral Roberts -5.0 144.9 32% 68–72 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Bradley +13.3 144.2 88% 55–84 ✓
Wichita State @ Northern Iowa +5.2 128.0 70% 74–69 ✗
Robert Morris @ Milwaukee -0.5 148.2 49% 72–74 ✗
Chicago State @ Illinois State +20.5 144.1 91% 53–95 ✓
South Dakota @ Northern Colorado +12.6 152.7 87% 87–89 ✓
Lindenwood @ Eastern Illinois -4.3 142.6 33% 82–74 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ DePaul +15.7 150.4 88% 72–76 ✓
Santa Clara @ New Mexico -4.0 147.3 38% 71–98 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Santa Barbara +9.4 147.2 85% 84–109 ✓
UC San Diego @ Long Beach State -9.5 147.3 19% 80–74 ✓
Arkansas State @ Little Rock -6.0 143.1 24% 90–78 ✓
Auburn @ Arizona +12.4 159.4 82% 68–97 ✓
Oklahoma @ Arizona State -4.0 152.0 40% 70–86 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ UC Irvine +9.4 137.4 85% 71–85 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Hawai'i +13.6 154.3 88% 59–69 ✓
Air Force @ Navy +11.5 136.1 84% 56–61 ✓
Missouri @ Kansas +4.6 142.0 69% 60–80 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Indiana State +8.6 144.7 79% 55–77 ✓
Weber State @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +4.0 147.8 68% 65–88 ✓
Fairfield @ Merrimack +1.1 139.9 56% 63–74 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Northeastern +3.1 141.5 62% 56–73 ✓
UTSA @ Alabama +24.3 155.1 91% 55–97 ✓
Austin Peay @ UT Rio Grande Valley +2.5 142.3 59% 50–63 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Davidson -2.0 141.4 40% 70–61 ✓
Iona @ Sacred Heart -0.7 159.2 50% 81–69 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Florida Gulf Coast +0.5 153.9 46% 81–76 ✗
Utah State @ Charlotte -4.3 141.6 33% 79–53 ✓
Rider @ Quinnipiac +15.0 141.5 91% 58–72 ✓
UIC @ Yale +16.6 148.1 89% 66–80 ✓
Niagara @ Saint Peter's +3.2 133.4 65% 43–71 ✓
Canisius @ Siena +13.9 127.5 90% 52–74 ✓
Manhattan @ Marist +11.1 132.2 86% 68–80 ✓
Saint Francis @ Radford +8.7 144.4 80% 56–89 ✓
LSU @ Texas Tech -0.9 146.6 48% 58–82 ✗
UL Monroe @ Stephen F. Austin +17.8 139.1 90% 76–96 ✓
Alabama State @ UT Martin +10.3 141.2 83% 64–74 ✓
Central Michigan @ Saint Louis +23.3 148.8 91% 65–107 ✓
San Francisco @ Mississippi State -0.1 146.1 55% 65–62 ✓
Towson @ UCF +11.4 143.2 83% 61–86 ✓
UNLV @ Stanford +13.7 159.4 88% 75–74 ✗
Hofstra @ Pittsburgh +3.3 135.2 62% 80–73 ✗
Belmont @ Middle Tennessee +3.1 147.1 61% 83–62 ✗
Northwestern State @ SE Louisiana +7.6 135.8 77% 76–68 ✗
Georgetown @ North Carolina +15.3 146.9 88% 61–81 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Lipscomb +9.2 134.8 81% 58–92 ✓
Nevada @ Washington State -0.1 148.0 47% 78–64 ✓
Creighton @ Nebraska +8.7 146.5 80% 50–71 ✓
Green Bay @ Wright State +5.5 141.9 74% 58–86 ✓
Texas A&M @ SMU +3.4 159.9 63% 80–93 ✓
TCU @ North Texas -4.5 135.3 31% 65–55 ✓
Central Arkansas @ East Texas A&M +2.1 139.5 59% 68–75 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.