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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–1 on winners
spread MAE 11.5
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cornell
@
Samford
|
-1.7 | 159.1 | 41% | 90–93 | ✗ |
UTEP
@
Seattle U
|
+15.2 | 135.2 | 88% | 68–75 | ✓ |
North Florida
@
Gonzaga
|
+26.6 | 156.1 | 91% | 58–109 | ✓ |
Lafayette
@
Pennsylvania
|
+10.7 | 143.2 | 84% | 72–74 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.