Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | SEA -950 UTEP +625 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +7 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -17.5 (-10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.7 (+12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -12.0 (-5.0) | 132.9 (+10.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -15.2 (-8.2) | 135.2 (+7.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -16.9 (-9.9) | 132.4 (+10.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -15.5 (-8.5) | 131.8 (+11.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | UTEP 88 – 72 SEA |
| Dec 31, 2023 | SEA 73 – 61 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-13 |
| Home | 14-4 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-8 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#105) | -7.3 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#138) | -2.12 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#113) | -2.98 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#135) | 0.460 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.2% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 40.9% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 29.1 | 26.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.3% | 43.0% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 23.2% |
| DRB% | 63.8% | 57.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
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