Betting Lines
| Spread | SAM -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 166.5 Over |
| Money | SAM -148 COR +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAM +3 | 183 | Won |
| Massey | COR -3.9 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 173.0 (+10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -2.3 (+5.3) | 160.2 (+22.8) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -1.7 (+4.7) | 159.1 (+23.9) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COR -3.5 (+6.5) | 153.9 (+29.1) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -0.2 (+3.2) | 155.3 (+27.7) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2024 | COR 88 – 86 SAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAM | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-6 |
| Home | 11-3 | 7-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.8 | 85.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 84.6 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#270) | 2.1 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#267) | 0.39 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#272) | 0.19 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#273) | 0.543 (#105) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAM | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 50.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 41.0% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 60.7% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.