Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -42.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 166.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +51 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -42.6 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.7 (+2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -37.0 (+14.0) | 155.0 (+12.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -29.0 (+22.0) | 157.5 (+9.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -26.6 (+24.4) | 156.1 (+10.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -33.3 (+17.7) | 152.7 (+14.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2022 | GONZ 104 – 63 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-0 | 5-8 |
| Away | 8-2 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.3 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 89.6 |
| Massey | 27.3 (#2) | -10.6 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.05 (#7) | -3.28 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.19 (#8) | -4.57 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.666 (#14) | 0.339 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.1% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 44.4 | 26.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.91 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.7% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 37.6% | 21.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 50.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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