Look out honey, 'cause I'm using technology "Search and Destroy" - Iggy and the Stooges
← All models

Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
38–12 on winners spread MAE 9.0 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Oregon State @ Colorado +12.5 144.4 87% 57–90 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Kansas State +9.5 135.8 83% 66–70 ✓
Charleston Southern @ High Point +13.7 151.5 88% 79–86 ✓
Northeastern @ Elon -1.9 144.2 43% 84–72 ✓
Stetson @ Florida Gulf Coast -1.3 141.8 46% 56–80 ✗
Portland @ Santa Clara +11.0 147.4 88% 86–101 ✓
Milwaukee @ Wright State +6.8 168.4 78% 81–95 ✓
UL Monroe @ Old Dominion +7.3 139.1 77% 80–73 ✗
Bryant @ UAlbany +0.2 156.8 52% 98–89 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Mississippi Valley State -8.8 137.3 20% 80–64 ✓
Bellarmine @ Eastern Kentucky +7.1 141.5 79% 70–82 ✓
Sam Houston @ Liberty +8.7 141.7 82% 66–82 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC San Diego +6.4 134.4 76% 61–67 ✓
Nevada @ Wyoming -8.6 137.7 19% 93–98 ✗
Tarleton State @ UT Rio Grande Valley -4.1 143.5 28% 77–73 ✓
UConn @ Villanova -0.4 141.1 43% 66–65 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Duke +11.0 142.2 86% 80–76 ✗
Southern Illinois @ Northern Iowa +2.6 136.9 66% 57–61 ✓
Florida @ Missouri -2.8 158.1 42% 79–67 ✓
Southern Utah @ California Baptist +5.0 141.0 72% 76–83 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Riverside -0.1 145.3 51% 63–82 ✗
Portland State @ Northern Colorado +3.8 151.6 70% 61–90 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Idaho State -5.5 144.3 27% 79–67 ✓
Ole Miss @ Auburn +12.9 151.8 86% 59–82 ✓
Washington @ Stanford +0.4 156.2 51% 80–90 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ New Mexico State +3.8 127.3 65% 62–73 ✓
Western Kentucky @ UTEP +0.1 139.9 49% 87–93 ✓
Montana @ Montana State -2.7 147.2 38% 87–77 ✓
Idaho @ Weber State +11.6 137.9 87% 65–88 ✓
Saint Mary's @ San Francisco +1.8 133.9 56% 77–60 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ Pepperdine +1.6 142.0 60% 68–61 ✗
Gonzaga @ San Diego -11.9 150.6 15% 105–63 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Seattle U -3.6 141.8 34% 79–86 ✗
Cal Poly @ Cal State Bakersfield +6.7 133.5 75% 53–65 ✓
Michigan State @ Maryland -3.1 131.0 36% 61–59 ✓
Memphis @ Tulane -2.4 162.6 43% 79–81 ✗
Rutgers @ Illinois +11.7 142.7 86% 63–86 ✓
Wichita State @ South Florida +5.6 145.0 74% 68–72 ✓
Niagara @ Mount St. Mary's +3.7 148.7 67% 82–71 ✗
Siena @ Marist +10.4 131.6 85% 48–50 ✓
Iona @ Quinnipiac +2.0 142.5 65% 87–91 ✓
Fairfield @ Manhattan -8.8 143.2 19% 82–75 ✓
Canisius @ Saint Peter's +5.3 131.9 74% 59–70 ✓
Wagner @ Sacred Heart +1.6 132.0 58% 61–66 ✓
Stonehill @ Merrimack +12.7 130.9 87% 47–63 ✓
Saint Francis @ Le Moyne +6.0 137.7 72% 57–94 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ UTSA -13.7 159.4 14% 112–103 ✓
Oregon @ Utah +10.2 149.6 83% 77–80 ✓
Chattanooga @ East Tennessee State +0.4 141.9 54% 81–74 ✗
Indiana State @ Murray State -6.0 151.6 24% 72–63 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.