They headed down to old El Paso; thats's where they ran into a great big hassle. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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40–10 on winners spread MAE 7.3 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Saint Joseph's @ Kentucky +13.3 143.2 86% 88–96 ✓
Howard @ Bryant +6.8 145.0 76% 61–67 ✓
Delaware State @ NJIT +0.2 140.3 48% 72–81 ✓
Sam Houston @ Troy +4.6 148.8 69% 88–86 ✗
North Carolina Central @ Campbell +3.7 124.3 61% 78–75 ✗
UMass Lowell @ Saint Peter's +4.4 132.3 58% 69–61 ✗
Southern Indiana @ Bucknell +4.4 137.4 62% 56–67 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Bethune-Cookman +10.5 141.5 85% 73–79 ✓
UConn @ Texas -4.3 146.1 31% 81–71 ✓
Buffalo @ Hofstra +10.6 138.9 80% 68–102 ✓
Utah State @ Akron -2.4 142.6 41% 65–62 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Southeast Missouri State +3.2 141.3 55% 68–70 ✓
Colorado @ Richmond +1.7 147.4 55% 64–59 ✗
South Carolina State @ Tulsa +18.5 143.1 90% 70–90 ✓
Oregon @ Florida A&M -8.1 145.5 20% 67–54 ✓
UTSA @ Houston Christian -1.6 157.1 36% 89–87 ✓
Stonehill @ East Texas A&M +14.4 134.3 89% 86–97 ✓
New Orleans @ Oklahoma State +3.5 137.6 55% 68–96 ✓
UCF @ Charlotte +1.2 128.0 57% 74–71 ✗
SMU @ West Virginia -4.3 136.7 31% 70–58 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Missouri State +1.5 130.3 55% 69–87 ✓
Green Bay @ Montana State +10.2 130.6 81% 54–53 ✗
Navy @ San Diego +12.3 134.1 86% 59–67 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Santa Clara +16.7 138.9 90% 39–81 ✓
Bradley @ Tulane -1.2 144.9 46% 80–77 ✓
North Dakota @ Pacific +3.2 144.0 64% 73–71 ✗
UCLA @ Marquette +7.1 138.8 78% 69–71 ✓
UTEP @ California -4.0 144.1 31% 75–72 ✓
Long Beach State @ Iona -3.9 145.0 32% 80–76 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Florida International -3.7 146.3 34% 61–60 ✓
Binghamton @ Sacred Heart +4.4 141.7 65% 75–89 ✓
Central Michigan @ Stetson +2.3 136.6 61% 61–71 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Eastern Kentucky -2.3 145.1 36% 76–64 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ App State -5.1 147.7 26% 56–86 ✗
Morgan State @ Radford +9.3 142.0 79% 72–82 ✓
McNeese @ Texas State -6.6 138.5 24% 59–48 ✓
Buffalo @ Louisiana +9.0 145.7 80% 60–68 ✓
Oakland @ Marshall -2.1 142.3 42% 78–71 ✓
Syracuse @ Gonzaga +3.1 147.0 60% 57–76 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Northeastern +8.3 141.2 79% 76–93 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Chicago State -0.5 131.5 50% 78–77 ✓
Florida State @ Colorado +0.9 152.5 52% 77–71 ✗
Southern Utah @ Louisiana Tech +10.3 147.7 81% 53–67 ✓
North Carolina Central @ The Citadel +3.6 132.5 63% 61–67 ✓
Illinois State @ High Point +1.5 140.9 53% 72–74 ✓
Drake @ Akron +0.5 143.8 54% 79–59 ✗
James Madison @ Southern Illinois -2.4 156.6 36% 82–76 ✓
Kennesaw State @ East Carolina +4.4 160.0 63% 84–85 ✓
Indiana State @ Rice -10.4 154.8 21% 103–88 ✓
UNLV @ Richmond +6.4 141.4 74% 65–82 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.