Well you know that it's a shame and a pity you were raised up in the city / And you never learned nothing about country ways "Not So Sweet Martha Lorraine" - Country Joe and the Fish
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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43–14 on winners spread MAE 12.6 60 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Duke @ Army -3.6 141.8 41% 114–59 ✓
Florida State @ Florida +6.7 159.5 70% 76–78 ✓
Radford @ North Carolina +21.7 151.9 89% 74–89 ✓
Norfolk State @ Old Dominion +8.3 147.7 65% 57–60 ✓
Drexel @ Colgate +4.2 136.4 71% 83–90 ✓
Alcorn State @ Maryland +12.8 140.4 84% 64–84 ✓
Winthrop @ Coastal Carolina +4.5 147.5 71% 66–72 ✓
Florida A&M @ UCF +13.8 155.4 87% 60–97 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Villanova +13.2 149.2 85% 60–94 ✓
Northwestern State @ North Alabama +7.8 141.3 73% 83–87 ✓
Toledo @ Wright State +16.0 143.9 86% 81–71 ✗
Jacksonville @ High Point +18.2 150.7 87% 64–85 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Florida Gulf Coast +2.7 160.5 58% 95–94 ✗
La Salle @ Temple +7.5 141.0 70% 63–90 ✓
Wagner @ Fordham -4.9 140.2 35% 61–63 ✗
Chicago State @ Butler +21.8 150.9 90% 66–98 ✓
Davidson @ Charlotte +12.8 148.0 83% 62–55 ✗
NJIT @ Loyola Maryland +4.6 128.7 56% 66–64 ✗
William & Mary @ Richmond +9.1 147.0 73% 86–90 ✓
Stonehill @ Rhode Island +7.6 139.9 75% 57–80 ✓
Dayton @ Cincinnati +3.9 142.3 54% 62–74 ✓
Morehead State @ Clemson +27.9 149.9 91% 56–83 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Boston College +21.7 132.3 88% 60–59 ✗
Northeastern @ Harvard +5.9 146.0 71% 77–60 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Providence +6.9 156.0 70% 81–106 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Saint Francis +1.7 144.0 37% 74–66 ✗
Bucknell @ Princeton -6.1 144.6 24% 63–73 ✗
Alabama State @ UAB +25.8 147.8 90% 77–74 ✗
Yale @ Quinnipiac -8.9 147.7 30% 97–60 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Notre Dame +18.8 138.5 88% 58–78 ✓
Kentucky @ Louisville +10.0 150.5 80% 88–96 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Arkansas +26.5 144.1 90% 56–93 ✓
Wofford @ Auburn +18.1 142.0 87% 62–93 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Kansas +21.2 139.8 89% 46–77 ✓
Merrimack @ Tarleton State +9.2 149.3 77% 62–76 ✓
Tulane @ Louisiana +6.4 135.0 72% 66–62 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ Rice +5.0 139.2 65% 81–69 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Oklahoma +21.5 152.9 89% 69–95 ✓
Buffalo @ DePaul +16.9 146.5 88% 66–53 ✗
Arkansas State @ Missouri State — — — 86–85 —
Cal State Northridge @ North Dakota State +7.1 146.0 74% 68–90 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Nebraska +26.3 131.9 90% 50–69 ✓
Murray State @ SMU +3.5 146.3 62% 91–102 ✓
Queens University @ Duquesne +15.1 151.1 86% 81–87 ✓
Texas Tech @ Illinois +17.8 152.7 88% 77–81 ✓
Ball State @ Wisconsin +18.1 149.5 87% 55–86 ✓
Austin Peay @ Wyoming +2.2 141.0 43% 65–79 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Arizona +23.0 148.7 86% 49–84 ✓
Delaware @ BYU +18.6 140.6 87% 68–85 ✓
Memphis @ Ole Miss +17.5 142.7 87% 77–83 ✓
UC Riverside @ New Mexico +12.2 131.6 80% 68–82 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ UTEP — — — 71–58 —
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Boise State +5.4 155.5 77% 65–85 ✓
Hampton @ Virginia +14.0 142.8 84% 53–91 ✓
Western Illinois @ Cal State Bakersfield +1.1 141.1 38% 58–74 ✓
Creighton @ Gonzaga +20.5 147.4 89% 63–90 ✓
Ohio @ Saint Mary's +18.5 145.7 89% 60–90 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Sacramento State — — — 92–87 —
Montana @ UNLV +16.9 151.6 87% 102–93 ✗
Binghamton @ Georgetown +26.9 136.4 90% 70–83 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.