I love it when you call me Big Poppa "Big Poppa" - Notorious B.I.G.
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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40–5 on winners spread MAE 8.4 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Florida @ Tennessee +29.6 144.7 91% 66–99 ✓
Elon @ Marshall +17.7 151.2 87% 89–96 ✓
James Madison @ Longwood +4.2 140.1 63% 72–82 ✓
Presbyterian @ South Carolina +15.4 137.2 85% 61–81 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ East Tennessee State +12.6 140.4 86% 63–75 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Western Michigan +10.2 151.1 81% 71–83 ✓
Coppin State @ South Florida +22.5 155.4 89% 50–100 ✓
Saint Peter's @ VCU +19.5 155.0 89% 61–78 ✓
Milwaukee @ Indiana +26.1 159.2 91% 70–101 ✓
Brown @ Boston University +17.4 137.2 89% 77–90 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Virginia Tech +19.8 150.4 87% 59–94 ✓
Siena @ St. Bonaventure +8.0 137.0 79% 66–75 ✓
American University @ George Washington +17.6 150.0 87% 67–107 ✓
Mercyhurst @ Canisius -4.4 134.8 25% 55–58 ✗
Oakland @ Houston +20.4 141.3 88% 45–78 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Vanderbilt +32.1 157.7 90% 62–92 ✓
Tulsa @ Oral Roberts -1.7 147.4 31% 88–87 ✓
Minnesota @ Missouri +8.9 146.5 75% 60–83 ✓
UTSA @ Texas State +12.2 137.4 79% 69–80 ✓
Little Rock @ Marquette +17.2 148.6 85% 49–89 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Evansville — — — 77–72 —
Nicholls @ Valparaiso +0.5 136.5 39% 63–68 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ NC State +31.3 158.2 91% 64–110 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Oklahoma State +32.1 149.7 91% 67–94 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Texas +24.1 144.1 90% 58–93 ✓
Southern Indiana @ South Dakota +7.7 146.1 75% 74–89 ✓
UT Martin @ Bradley +9.5 138.0 74% 78–67 ✗
Samford @ Texas Southern -2.0 151.1 30% 93–90 ✓
Dartmouth @ Bryant +8.3 133.6 62% 75–82 ✓
Weber State @ Utah State +10.7 146.7 80% 73–83 ✓
UC San Diego @ Fresno State +6.0 136.7 72% 78–73 ✗
Cal Poly @ Colorado State +19.2 148.1 88% 79–93 ✓
Idaho @ San Diego +1.6 142.6 57% 74–78 ✓
Manhattan @ Utah Tech +2.5 149.9 64% 79–75 ✗
South Dakota State @ Oregon +1.9 128.5 65% 69–83 ✓
North Texas @ Oregon State +2.9 128.7 57% 64–66 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Nevada +11.3 144.6 82% 81–86 ✓
Portland State @ San Francisco +6.8 144.1 76% 70–80 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Seattle U +3.8 147.0 59% 67–94 ✓
Long Beach State @ Pacific +15.6 141.5 87% 66–69 ✓
Montana State @ Stanford +18.0 142.3 84% 68–77 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Hawai'i +34.6 148.0 91% 56–88 ✓
Central Michigan @ South Alabama +1.9 145.0 62% 64–66 ✓
Cornell @ Lafayette +2.5 154.1 49% 97–78 ✗
Pittsburgh @ West Virginia +3.4 125.9 57% 49–71 ✓
San José State @ Michigan State +8.8 137.4 77% 60–79 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.