Trouble's gonna come to you "Your Time is Gonna Come" - Led Zeppelin
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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13–3 on winners spread MAE 10.4 16 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Purdue @ Alabama +17.4 150.5 85% 87–80 ✗
Alcorn State @ Howard +3.5 147.2 60% 64–72 ✓
Le Moyne @ Massachusetts +9.9 143.4 82% 80–94 ✓
Monmouth @ Seton Hall +21.6 130.8 86% 58–70 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Columbia +28.4 141.0 90% 72–86 ✓
Southern Miss @ Grambling +1.7 149.1 42% 70–75 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Wichita State +24.7 145.0 89% 74–95 ✓
Florida International @ LSU +32.8 148.6 91% 81–98 ✓
Green Bay @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +4.2 145.2 72% 61–80 ✓
UL Monroe @ Houston Christian +8.0 141.8 74% 61–72 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Alabama A&M +0.3 148.7 36% 64–68 ✓
California @ Kansas State +5.9 146.0 72% 96–99 ✓
Central Michigan @ Coppin State -5.7 139.3 19% 82–59 ✓
Lehigh @ Rutgers +18.6 135.8 89% 72–84 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Eastern Michigan +14.6 151.3 85% 90–83 ✗
Lindenwood @ Charleston Southern +9.8 149.7 82% 83–77 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.