Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | STMN -1400 GB +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +19 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | STMN -6.3 (+12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (-9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -6.3 (+12.7) | 140.4 (+0.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -4.0 (+15.0) | 142.4 (-1.4) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -4.2 (+14.8) | 145.2 (-4.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -4.4 (+14.6) | 140.5 (+0.5) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2024 | STMN 90 – 76 GB |
| Nov 25, 2023 | GB 64 – 51 STMN |
| Dec 14, 2022 | STMN 82 – 61 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 12-8 |
| Home | 14-1 | 10-4 |
| Away | 8-7 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#312) | -4.2 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.34 (#301) | -0.60 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#313) | -0.91 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.361 (#304) | 0.458 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 26.7% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 25.7 | 26.5 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 5.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.69 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 12.9% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 15.3% | 16.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.8% | 62.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 7.8% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 42.9% |
Game Analysis
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