Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | LSU -5000 FIU +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +17 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -32.0 (-15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.5 (+21.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | LSU -23.6 (-6.6) | 149.1 (+29.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -32.8 (-15.8) | 148.6 (+30.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -30.0 (-13.0) | 147.9 (+31.1) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-8 | 12-6 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 15.4 (#10) | -6.1 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#50) | -0.37 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.52 (#39) | -0.55 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.854 (#5) | 0.500 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.7% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 26.1% |
| REB / G | 47.5 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 17.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.83 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 62.4% | 43.7% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 26.0% |
| ORB% | 43.9% | 38.6% |
| FT Rate | 36.8% | 5.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 36.0% | 67.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.9% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 7.5% |
Game Analysis
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