Betting Lines
| Spread | EMU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 186.5 Under |
| Money | EMU -225 IUIN +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IUIN +7 | 173 | Lost |
| Massey | EMU -18.9 (-25.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 179.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EMU -10.4 (-17.4) | 155.4 (+17.6) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EMU -14.3 (-21.3) | 156.1 (+16.9) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EMU -14.6 (-21.6) | 151.3 (+21.7) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EMU -13.7 (-20.7) | 153.1 (+19.9) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2024 | EMU 74 – 71 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 3-17 |
| Home | 7-7 | 5-9 |
| Away | 3-14 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 89.2 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#145) | -6.5 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#199) | -1.99 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#195) | -2.85 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#209) | 0.458 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 44.5 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.8% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 37.2% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 61.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 52.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 41.8% |
Game Analysis
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