Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Over |
| Money | KSU -275 CAL +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +3 | 195 | Won |
| Massey | KSU -11.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (+40.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -7.4 (-4.4) | 145.6 (+49.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -7.5 (-4.5) | 145.6 (+49.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -5.9 (-2.9) | 146.0 (+49.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -7.4 (-4.4) | 149.1 (+45.9) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2022 | KSU 63 – 54 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-8 | 17-5 |
| Away | 1-10 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.8 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#67) | 5.7 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#138) | 0.88 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#133) | 1.32 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#227) | 0.583 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.8% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 56.0% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 41.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 67.5% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 40.7% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 38.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 42.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.