Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | CAL +225 KSU -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +9 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | KSU -0.7 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-27.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -4.6 (-4.4) | 144.6 (-27.6) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -6.8 (-2.2) | 144.2 (-27.2) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2025 | KSU 99 – 96 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAL | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-29 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 11-7 |
| Home | 3-14 | 16-1 |
| Away | 0-12 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L16 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.3 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#287) | 6.7 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#289) | 0.43 (#79) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.65 (#299) | 0.67 (#69) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAL | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 44.4% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 1.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.9% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 31.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 43.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 32.7% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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