Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Levien Gymnasium · November 14, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread COLU -13.5 Home covered
O/U 156.5 Over
Money COLU -1400 / UML +750
Model Predictions
Spread Total COLU win
Actual COLU +14 158 Won
Massey COLU -37.4 (-23.4)
Massey Totals 149.6 (+8.4)
Bradley-Terry 100%
Weighted B-T 100%
Efficiency Plus ML COLU -20.4 (-6.4) 137.1 (+20.9) 90%
Baseline Tuned ML COLU -20.6 (-6.6) 142.9 (+15.1) 90%
Baseline ML COLU -28.4 (-14.4) 141.0 (+17.0) 90%
Baseline Plus ML COLU -27.1 (-13.1) 139.6 (+18.4) 91%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 11, 2022 UML 8962 COLU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COLU UML
Overall 16-12 15-18
Conference 5-9 9-7
Home 9-5 10-4
Away 7-7 5-14
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 1-1 0-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 74.9 71.7
Avg Pts Against 73.5 77.4
Massey 2.6 (#131) -24.4 (#362)
Bradley-Terry 1.69 (#39) -3.59 (#362)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.66 (#31) -5.59 (#361)
RPI 0.626 (#73) 0.368 (#300)
Shooting & Four Factors COLU UML
FG% 45.7% 28.8%
3PT% 35.1% 25.6%
REB / G 36.5 28.0
OREB / G 9.5 10.5
AST / TO 0.72 0.42
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.9% 33.7%
TOV% 22.1% 22.9%
ORB% 29.7% 26.9%
FT Rate 22.9% 42.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.0% 62.4%
Opp TOV% 13.5% 16.8%
DRB% 77.1% 59.3%
Opp FT Rate 29.1% 21.6%

Game Analysis

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