I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–15 on winners spread MAE 9.0 51 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Alabama @ South Carolina -7.3 156.8 17% 88–68 ✓
Ole Miss @ Arkansas +3.7 143.0 66% 73–66 ✗
Presbyterian @ South Carolina Upstate -5.8 146.7 27% 67–77 ✗
UNC Asheville @ Longwood +3.4 150.4 67% 76–85 ✓
Winthrop @ Gardner-Webb +1.8 152.9 64% 83–89 ✓
High Point @ Charleston Southern -4.6 150.3 32% 93–79 ✓
Colorado @ UCF +1.8 146.2 66% 74–75 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Charlotte -5.7 156.3 31% 75–64 ✓
Temple @ East Carolina -0.3 145.6 52% 79–80 ✗
Florida State @ Miami -2.8 155.5 37% 80–65 ✓
Notre Dame @ NC State +2.6 140.7 64% 65–66 ✓
George Washington @ Rhode Island +6.6 144.2 73% 75–67 ✗
Richmond @ George Mason +14.1 133.0 87% 58–64 ✓
Fordham @ VCU +16.1 147.2 88% 61–73 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Duquesne -0.7 133.9 45% 81–85 ✗
Dayton @ Massachusetts -9.9 145.4 18% 72–76 ✗
Murray State @ Northern Iowa +6.9 142.3 75% 71–68 ✗
Drake @ Bradley +3.9 133.5 60% 64–57 ✗
Lehigh @ Colgate +1.5 138.0 57% 62–67 ✓
American University @ Boston University +3.0 132.0 65% 54–60 ✓
Lafayette @ Bucknell +4.2 134.4 62% 62–65 ✓
USC @ Indiana +6.4 146.5 76% 69–82 ✓
Cleveland State @ Robert Morris +2.3 142.5 59% 80–69 ✗
Milwaukee @ Purdue Fort Wayne +3.4 154.1 63% 73–78 ✓
Western Carolina @ Wofford +14.9 141.8 89% 69–77 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Mercer -1.1 151.8 50% 70–68 ✓
Furman @ The Citadel -13.9 136.7 12% 67–63 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Belmont +9.6 154.6 82% 86–90 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Saint Louis -2.8 137.8 44% 68–73 ✗
Indiana State @ Valparaiso +2.3 162.1 67% 95–98 ✓
Illinois State @ Evansville -7.4 134.3 21% 51–69 ✗
Butler @ Providence +1.7 134.9 51% 65–84 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Georgia State +1.6 147.4 60% 78–82 ✓
Texas A&M @ Oklahoma +1.0 143.2 46% 80–78 ✗
Arizona State @ Kansas +11.1 139.6 84% 55–74 ✓
Penn State @ Illinois +11.5 160.6 83% 52–91 ✓
San Diego @ Gonzaga +29.8 148.3 91% 80–93 ✓
Rice @ North Texas +9.7 127.4 80% 59–81 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Stanford +8.2 144.4 77% 59–70 ✓
South Dakota State @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +4.6 153.2 70% 72–73 ✓
Kansas City @ Omaha +0.1 141.4 52% 58–77 ✓
Air Force @ San Diego State +17.7 132.4 90% 38–67 ✓
Virginia @ California +2.1 132.8 60% 61–75 ✓
Morehead State @ Little Rock +6.3 133.5 71% 59–53 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ Chattanooga -0.9 142.8 49% 78–75 ✓
Oregon @ Ohio State +4.1 152.7 73% 73–71 ✗
Purdue @ Rutgers -4.1 148.5 35% 68–50 ✓
Binghamton @ Maine +3.9 135.8 66% 71–82 ✓
Vermont @ UMass Lowell +7.6 137.1 72% 67–63 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ IU Indianapolis +0.1 138.6 56% 61–95 ✓
Jacksonville @ Bellarmine -10.6 140.4 18% 74–59 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.