And the sound that I'm hearing is only the sound of the low spark of high heeled boys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–13 on winners spread MAE 8.2 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Central Arkansas @ Stetson +0.6 148.6 54% 65–75 ✓
UMBC @ NJIT -5.6 142.8 24% 87–64 ✓
UAlbany @ New Hampshire -9.3 139.5 17% 61–57 ✓
James Madison @ Marshall +0.1 138.0 49% 78–80 ✓
Texas State @ Troy +6.1 133.8 75% 74–73 ✗
Oakland @ Wright State +4.5 142.1 71% 62–66 ✓
Charleston @ Hofstra -0.1 141.3 44% 67–61 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Monmouth -2.8 144.1 36% 64–55 ✓
Campbell @ Hampton +5.6 138.3 72% 66–55 ✗
Elon @ William & Mary -0.3 150.2 46% 65–78 ✗
Delaware @ North Carolina A&T -2.0 156.2 46% 98–88 ✓
Drexel @ Stony Brook -5.9 133.7 26% 67–51 ✓
Northeastern @ Towson +0.3 131.9 45% 73–80 ✓
North Alabama @ Florida Gulf Coast +1.6 145.9 57% 70–75 ✓
North Florida @ Eastern Kentucky +4.2 166.2 75% 74–79 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Middle Tennessee +7.5 149.7 77% 79–84 ✓
Florida International @ Louisiana Tech +5.2 138.1 69% 64–81 ✓
Old Dominion @ Louisiana +3.8 142.4 65% 71–60 ✗
UL Monroe @ Southern Miss +5.6 140.9 68% 67–84 ✓
Queens University @ Lipscomb +14.7 146.7 87% 75–73 ✗
West Georgia @ Austin Peay +6.1 133.9 54% 72–68 ✗
Grand Canyon @ Utah Valley +0.8 140.7 41% 64–72 ✓
North Dakota State @ Oral Roberts -11.9 153.2 16% 110–96 ✓
VMI @ Samford +14.3 154.9 87% 68–81 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Western Kentucky +3.5 151.0 66% 73–67 ✗
Washington @ Michigan State +12.6 144.5 85% 54–88 ✓
Arkansas State @ South Alabama +3.5 137.5 61% 62–76 ✓
Tarleton State @ Southern Utah +8.1 134.1 72% 74–66 ✗
UT Martin @ Western Illinois -0.1 135.8 49% 85–83 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Southeast Missouri State +6.3 137.4 74% 66–77 ✓
Tennessee State @ Lindenwood +2.8 147.2 64% 62–72 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Eastern Illinois -0.5 139.7 46% 69–64 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Montana +5.5 151.8 75% 76–81 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Montana State -0.5 152.8 45% 83–82 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Davis +7.2 134.9 77% 53–63 ✓
UT Arlington @ Utah Tech -3.2 151.4 41% 62–74 ✗
North Dakota @ Denver +1.3 153.7 48% 95–70 ✗
Liberty @ Sam Houston -5.3 147.1 26% 76–68 ✓
Pacific @ Washington State +17.1 151.1 89% 95–94 ✗
Idaho @ Sacramento State -3.1 133.4 38% 80–67 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Portland State +2.8 145.8 65% 59–64 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC San Diego +16.7 156.0 88% 68–95 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC Riverside +2.9 137.6 60% 83–76 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Santa Barbara +5.6 133.5 70% 66–78 ✓
UC Irvine @ Cal State Northridge +0.2 148.2 55% 77–67 ✗
Oregon State @ Santa Clara +3.9 148.5 69% 81–82 ✓
Portland @ San Francisco +17.8 149.2 90% 72–81 ✓
Merrimack @ Sacred Heart -0.0 138.9 48% 66–65 ✓
Kent State @ Buffalo -9.6 137.2 16% 68–49 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Niagara +0.7 130.8 50% 60–70 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.