Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | SF -5000 PORT +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +9 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | SF -23.2 (-14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (+4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -18.8 (-9.8) | 148.3 (+4.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -16.5 (-7.5) | 148.4 (+4.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -17.8 (-8.8) | 149.2 (+3.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -18.9 (-9.9) | 149.5 (+3.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | SF 82 – 65 PORT |
| Jan 5, 2026 | SF 73 – 68 PORT |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SF 72 – 51 PORT |
| Jan 28, 2024 | SF 76 – 64 PORT |
| Jan 14, 2024 | SF 96 – 69 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 17-2 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 81.2 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#66) | -10.4 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#60) | -1.73 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#63) | -2.36 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#49) | 0.447 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 13.1% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 15.9% |
Game Analysis
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