Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | SF -900 PORT +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +5 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | SF -12.6 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -12.6 (-7.6) | 142.6 (-1.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -13.8 (-8.8) | 142.1 (-1.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -11.1 (-6.1) | 141.8 (-0.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -11.1 (-6.1) | 142.9 (-1.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | SF 82 – 65 PORT |
| Jan 10, 2025 | SF 81 – 72 PORT |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SF 72 – 51 PORT |
| Jan 28, 2024 | SF 76 – 64 PORT |
| Jan 14, 2024 | SF 96 – 69 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-6 | 12-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#117) | -5.0 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#104) | -0.45 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#93) | -0.44 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#108) | 0.473 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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