Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | PORT +650 SF -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +12 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | SF -15.3 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -15.4 (+3.4) | 147.9 (-7.9) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -14.7 (+2.7) | 146.0 (-6.0) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -13.8 (+1.8) | 148.2 (-8.2) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -14.1 (+2.1) | 148.5 (-8.5) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | SF 82 – 65 PORT |
| Jan 5, 2026 | SF 73 – 68 PORT |
| Jan 10, 2025 | SF 81 – 72 PORT |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SF 72 – 51 PORT |
| Jan 14, 2024 | SF 96 – 69 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 11-5 |
| Home | 9-6 | 14-2 |
| Away | 2-11 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 66.8 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#316) | 9.5 (#56) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#284) | 1.15 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#273) | 1.49 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#284) | 0.542 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | SF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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