Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | SEMO -425 USI +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +11 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | SEMO -9.1 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (+1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -6.7 (+4.3) | 141.0 (+2.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -6.6 (+4.4) | 140.6 (+2.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -6.1 (+4.9) | 137.7 (+5.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -6.3 (+4.7) | 137.4 (+5.6) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | SEMO 90 – 65 USI |
| Jan 9, 2026 | SEMO 84 – 76 USI |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SEMO 79 – 74 USI |
| Mar 3, 2024 | SEMO 70 – 66 USI |
| Dec 30, 2023 | SEMO 93 – 91 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | USI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 5-15 |
| Home | 12-3 | 8-7 |
| Away | 8-7 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#229) | -8.7 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#256) | -1.89 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#250) | -2.39 (#317) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#249) | 0.374 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | USI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.3% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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