Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | USI +270 SEMO -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +8 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | SEMO -5.4 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (+10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -5.6 (-2.4) | 143.3 (+16.7) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -7.0 (-1.0) | 140.6 (+19.4) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -6.1 (-1.9) | 139.3 (+20.7) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -5.5 (-2.5) | 139.5 (+20.5) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | SEMO 90 – 65 USI |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SEMO 79 – 74 USI |
| Jan 10, 2025 | SEMO 77 – 66 USI |
| Mar 3, 2024 | SEMO 70 – 66 USI |
| Dec 30, 2023 | SEMO 93 – 91 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USI | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 14-6 |
| Home | 3-10 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -12.0 (#334) | -2.8 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.25 (#354) | -0.57 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.91 (#350) | -0.90 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.325 (#364) | 0.462 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USI | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 41.4% |
Game Analysis
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