Betting Lines
| Spread | USI -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | USI -275 SEMO +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +4 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | USI -8.5 (-12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USI -5.2 (-9.2) | 140.4 (-4.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USI -5.9 (-9.9) | 139.1 (-3.1) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USI -5.7 (-9.7) | 140.6 (-4.6) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USI -5.4 (-9.4) | 143.5 (-7.5) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | SEMO 90 – 65 USI |
| Jan 9, 2026 | SEMO 84 – 76 USI |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SEMO 79 – 74 USI |
| Jan 10, 2025 | SEMO 77 – 66 USI |
| Dec 30, 2023 | SEMO 93 – 91 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USI | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 4-14 |
| Home | 5-10 | 8-7 |
| Away | 3-13 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -10.3 (#324) | -15.6 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.42 (#344) | -2.75 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.82 (#341) | -3.34 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#328) | 0.378 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USI | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.0% | 30.8% |
Game Analysis
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