Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | USI +155 SEMO -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +5 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | SEMO -3.7 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -3.0 (-2.0) | 143.8 (+9.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -2.0 (-3.0) | 143.7 (+9.3) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -3.5 (-1.5) | 141.9 (+11.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -3.1 (-1.9) | 142.9 (+10.1) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | SEMO 90 – 65 USI |
| Jan 9, 2026 | SEMO 84 – 76 USI |
| Jan 10, 2025 | SEMO 77 – 66 USI |
| Mar 3, 2024 | SEMO 70 – 66 USI |
| Dec 30, 2023 | SEMO 93 – 91 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USI | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 15-5 |
| Home | 8-7 | 12-3 |
| Away | 2-13 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#316) | -3.0 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.79 (#321) | -0.69 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.45 (#327) | -0.98 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#331) | 0.488 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USI | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 32.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.