Betting Lines
| Spread | UCD -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | UCD -380 CSUF +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCD +10 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | UCD -10.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (-16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCD -8.1 (+1.9) | 136.0 (-20.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCD -7.9 (+2.1) | 133.1 (-17.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCD -7.2 (+2.8) | 134.8 (-18.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCD -7.2 (+2.8) | 134.9 (-18.9) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | CSUF 82 – 70 UCD |
| Feb 20, 2026 | CSUF 93 – 92 UCD |
| Jan 16, 2026 | UCD 74 – 69 CSUF |
| Feb 9, 2025 | UCD 65 – 49 CSUF |
| Feb 9, 2024 | UCD 71 – 58 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCD | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 1-19 |
| Home | 8-6 | 4-11 |
| Away | 7-10 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L7 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 62.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#239) | -10.8 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#159) | -1.64 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#183) | -2.28 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#145) | 0.431 (#295) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCD | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.62 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 33.3% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.