Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUF -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | CSUF -125 UCD +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +12 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | UCD -1.0 (+13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCD -0.7 (+12.7) | 154.5 (-2.5) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCD -1.3 (+13.3) | 154.0 (-2.0) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCD -0.8 (+12.8) | 151.7 (+0.3) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCD -0.0 (+12.0) | 151.6 (+0.4) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | CSUF 93 – 92 UCD |
| Jan 16, 2026 | UCD 74 – 69 CSUF |
| Feb 9, 2025 | UCD 65 – 49 CSUF |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UCD 63 – 53 CSUF |
| Feb 9, 2024 | UCD 71 – 58 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-10 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.3 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.2 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#190) | -0.5 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#157) | 0.23 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#154) | 0.39 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#151) | 0.510 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 30.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.