The name is Big Daddy, yes big not little. "Ain't No Half Steppin'" - Big Daddy Kane
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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38–15 on winners spread MAE 9.9 53 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Temple @ South Florida +5.9 145.5 80% 68–76 ✓
Towson @ Monmouth +3.1 134.4 65% 43–51 ✓
Stony Brook @ Northeastern +5.4 146.5 71% 62–53 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ Drexel +2.8 144.2 67% 63–78 ✓
Hampton @ Delaware +14.7 151.3 89% 53–80 ✓
Elon @ William & Mary +0.4 154.3 61% 70–77 ✓
Charleston @ Hofstra +4.6 148.9 70% 73–61 ✗
Campbell @ North Carolina A&T +0.2 139.9 42% 62–76 ✓
Penn State @ Michigan State +12.9 144.2 86% 61–92 ✓
Jacksonville @ Florida Gulf Coast +4.5 141.4 76% 70–80 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Merrimack +10.7 142.5 86% 56–60 ✓
Wagner @ Long Island University -3.0 131.3 36% 67–69 ✗
Central Connecticut @ Stonehill -5.4 137.9 30% 74–59 ✓
Youngstown State @ Northern Kentucky -0.5 143.6 50% 76–79 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Robert Morris +10.5 144.5 86% 48–92 ✓
Milwaukee @ Oakland +11.2 152.9 85% 95–100 ✓
Green Bay @ Detroit Mercy -9.9 133.0 18% 69–51 ✓
Cleveland State @ Wright State +0.5 159.6 55% 70–82 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Morehead State +13.0 141.0 86% 57–82 ✓
Old Dominion @ Troy +4.0 147.8 71% 73–86 ✓
North Florida @ Stetson +9.7 151.2 84% 74–75 ✓
Lipscomb @ Eastern Kentucky -8.6 148.6 27% 72–80 ✗
Memphis @ Tulsa -6.0 146.5 26% 78–75 ✓
James Madison @ Louisiana -6.4 153.9 23% 68–61 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Little Rock +2.4 150.1 58% 80–88 ✓
Georgia State @ Southern Miss +0.1 147.0 57% 73–79 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Texas State +9.4 135.7 62% 71–63 ✗
Georgia Southern @ Arkansas State +9.8 144.3 82% 83–109 ✓
App State @ South Alabama -2.9 138.5 40% 91–84 ✓
UT Arlington @ Tarleton State +5.7 138.1 75% 76–78 ✓
California Baptist @ Utah Valley +2.0 133.9 61% 58–65 ✓
Tennessee State @ Southern Indiana -1.3 143.2 50% 67–69 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Western Illinois +10.8 140.1 87% 61–68 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Southern Utah -7.1 153.7 20% 96–75 ✓
Pepperdine @ Gonzaga +15.7 144.0 87% 60–86 ✓
Oregon @ Washington +5.2 153.5 73% 76–74 ✗
North Texas @ Wichita State +0.8 131.7 51% 74–62 ✗
Minnesota @ Michigan +3.1 153.1 58% 73–71 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ UT Martin +9.0 147.1 73% 79–72 ✗
UTEP @ New Mexico State +1.0 140.6 57% 53–63 ✓
Colorado @ Arizona +11.2 162.2 86% 50–97 ✓
San Francisco @ Pacific -19.2 138.1 11% 92–88 ✓
Utah Tech @ Seattle U +12.0 147.3 87% 53–70 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal Poly -6.0 144.3 27% 89–82 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Bakersfield -2.3 134.9 41% 78–67 ✓
UC Davis @ UC Riverside +0.5 136.6 53% 83–63 ✗
UC San Diego @ UC Santa Barbara +1.0 141.5 54% 79–72 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Irvine +15.7 136.3 87% 67–75 ✓
Oregon State @ Washington State +11.4 137.4 84% 58–65 ✓
Utah @ Arizona State -7.7 144.2 25% 70–82 ✗
Santa Clara @ Loyola Marymount +0.3 143.3 47% 68–57 ✗
Saint Mary's @ San Diego -8.3 134.1 20% 81–70 ✓
UConn @ Butler -0.9 149.8 44% 88–81 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.