I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
← All models

Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
36–14 on winners spread MAE 8.7 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Oregon State @ Colorado +15.8 147.0 93% 57–90 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Kansas State +9.7 137.4 81% 66–70 ✓
Charleston Southern @ High Point +17.6 151.2 95% 79–86 ✓
Northeastern @ Elon -1.6 151.5 44% 84–72 ✓
Stetson @ Florida Gulf Coast -1.2 140.5 46% 56–80 ✗
Portland @ Santa Clara +16.1 151.4 93% 86–101 ✓
Milwaukee @ Wright State +9.5 178.3 81% 81–95 ✓
UL Monroe @ Old Dominion +10.3 140.3 83% 80–73 ✗
Bryant @ UAlbany +0.7 160.4 52% 98–89 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Mississippi Valley State -11.1 138.9 16% 80–64 ✓
Bellarmine @ Eastern Kentucky +9.4 139.7 80% 70–82 ✓
Sam Houston @ Liberty +11.1 143.0 84% 66–82 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC San Diego +7.8 133.1 76% 61–67 ✓
Nevada @ Wyoming -9.8 138.8 19% 93–98 ✗
Tarleton State @ UT Rio Grande Valley -3.8 146.7 36% 77–73 ✓
UConn @ Villanova -0.8 141.5 47% 66–65 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Duke +11.5 143.1 85% 80–76 ✗
Southern Illinois @ Northern Iowa +2.4 138.6 59% 57–61 ✓
Florida @ Missouri -3.3 161.9 38% 79–67 ✓
Southern Utah @ California Baptist +7.7 144.6 76% 76–83 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Riverside -0.4 149.0 49% 63–82 ✗
Portland State @ Northern Colorado +5.5 161.5 69% 61–90 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Idaho State -5.7 146.2 30% 79–67 ✓
Ole Miss @ Auburn +14.6 152.0 91% 59–82 ✓
Washington @ Stanford -1.0 163.7 46% 80–90 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ New Mexico State +6.5 124.3 72% 62–73 ✓
Western Kentucky @ UTEP -0.5 142.2 48% 87–93 ✗
Montana @ Montana State -4.1 144.5 35% 87–77 ✓
Idaho @ Weber State +15.3 135.8 92% 65–88 ✓
Saint Mary's @ San Francisco +1.6 127.7 56% 77–60 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ Pepperdine +1.9 143.0 57% 68–61 ✗
Gonzaga @ San Diego -13.1 152.5 12% 105–63 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Seattle U -2.5 143.0 41% 79–86 ✗
Cal Poly @ Cal State Bakersfield +8.6 132.9 78% 53–65 ✓
Michigan State @ Maryland -4.3 129.3 35% 61–59 ✓
Memphis @ Tulane -1.0 175.2 46% 79–81 ✗
Rutgers @ Illinois +14.7 139.8 91% 63–86 ✓
Wichita State @ South Florida +5.6 148.5 69% 68–72 ✓
Niagara @ Mount St. Mary's +8.2 155.2 77% 82–71 ✗
Siena @ Marist +16.5 124.5 93% 48–50 ✓
Iona @ Quinnipiac +2.3 146.7 58% 87–91 ✓
Fairfield @ Manhattan -8.4 145.5 22% 82–75 ✓
Canisius @ Saint Peter's +5.9 129.6 70% 59–70 ✓
Wagner @ Sacred Heart +4.0 130.6 64% 61–66 ✓
Stonehill @ Merrimack +16.2 132.2 93% 47–63 ✓
Saint Francis @ Le Moyne +8.5 137.8 78% 57–94 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ UTSA -17.6 167.5 6% 112–103 ✓
Oregon @ Utah +11.0 154.1 84% 77–80 ✓
Chattanooga @ East Tennessee State +2.3 143.2 58% 81–74 ✗
Indiana State @ Murray State -8.1 157.2 23% 72–63 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.