Somehow I stayed thin, while the other guys got fat "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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34–18 on winners spread MAE 9.3 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UConn @ Providence -7.1 148.4 19% 103–98 ✓
Belmont @ Northern Iowa +2.0 130.8 57% 78–65 ✗
American University @ Colgate +4.1 147.4 71% 62–64 ✓
Saint Louis @ VCU +3.0 163.4 67% 71–62 ✗
Richmond @ St. Bonaventure +5.0 148.4 78% 89–80 ✗
La Salle @ Rhode Island +9.3 130.1 83% 79–72 ✗
George Mason @ Fordham -3.2 132.5 28% 67–58 ✓
Duquesne @ Saint Joseph's -1.5 149.2 49% 90–97 ✗
East Carolina @ Temple +8.4 142.0 83% 67–75 ✓
Boston University @ Lafayette +0.9 143.6 49% 83–67 ✗
Presbyterian @ Radford +4.7 142.1 66% 61–80 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ High Point +23.9 158.3 91% 49–104 ✓
Xavier @ Marquette +2.4 149.2 57% 65–66 ✓
Miami @ Wake Forest +1.0 150.6 59% 81–77 ✗
Stanford @ Virginia Tech +3.6 150.8 67% 69–68 ✗
Bucknell @ Navy +8.2 131.6 85% 55–76 ✓
Western Carolina @ Samford +6.9 148.1 79% 77–82 ✓
The Citadel @ Mercer +14.7 147.7 89% 63–101 ✓
VMI @ East Tennessee State +16.9 144.4 90% 67–81 ✓
Marshall @ James Madison +0.1 151.0 52% 66–64 ✗
Missouri @ Kentucky +12.1 146.3 84% 73–68 ✗
Oklahoma @ Mississippi State +1.4 157.1 51% 53–72 ✓
Missouri State @ Kennesaw State +3.7 144.2 68% 80–90 ✓
Florida International @ Jacksonville State +0.4 145.2 57% 64–71 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Youngstown State +5.6 142.4 74% 71–69 ✗
Rice @ Wichita State +14.2 142.0 88% 66–64 ✗
Florida Atlantic @ UAB +2.3 154.9 59% 76–71 ✗
Creighton @ Villanova +7.6 139.5 74% 76–72 ✗
Iowa State @ Baylor -2.6 156.6 30% 70–60 ✓
Illinois State @ Valparaiso -7.5 135.2 26% 71–77 ✗
Southern Illinois @ UIC -1.7 147.2 46% 57–70 ✗
Murray State @ Evansville -10.5 151.0 16% 79–69 ✓
South Florida @ North Texas -2.6 143.3 42% 74–70 ✓
Charlotte @ UTSA -7.1 143.1 23% 74–58 ✓
Troy @ Arkansas State +4.2 162.3 70% 74–86 ✓
Washington @ Purdue +13.2 145.6 86% 73–81 ✓
Kansas State @ Arizona +15.0 163.2 87% 76–101 ✓
Arizona State @ BYU +15.3 159.4 88% 76–104 ✓
Alabama @ Vanderbilt +8.5 173.9 78% 90–96 ✓
Arkansas @ Ole Miss -2.3 148.3 49% 94–87 ✓
California @ Virginia +9.0 147.0 81% 60–84 ✓
SMU @ Clemson +3.1 143.8 63% 70–74 ✓
Drake @ Bradley +5.0 144.6 72% 66–93 ✓
Davidson @ Loyola Chicago -4.5 135.5 32% 79–64 ✓
Utah @ Colorado +9.0 159.3 83% 73–85 ✓
South Dakota @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +11.2 160.8 86% 86–99 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Boise State +10.1 141.3 85% 75–58 ✗
Hofstra @ Towson -2.4 132.4 43% 78–67 ✓
Chicago State @ Fairleigh Dickinson +1.9 136.3 60% 63–70 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Bryant +1.7 136.7 57% 77–63 ✗
Maine @ UMBC +7.4 130.2 73% 62–69 ✓
Northwestern @ Michigan State +12.5 143.8 86% 66–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.