Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | LUC +114 DAV -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +15 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -6.1 (-8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -6.5 (-8.5) | 138.1 (+4.9) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -4.5 (-10.5) | 135.5 (+7.5) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -6.6 (-8.4) | 137.0 (+6.0) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -6.0 (-9.0) | 139.2 (+3.8) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | DAV 64 – 59 LUC |
| Feb 6, 2026 | DAV 84 – 64 LUC |
| Mar 6, 2025 | LUC 82 – 72 DAV |
| Feb 19, 2025 | LUC 77 – 69 DAV |
| Mar 7, 2024 | LUC 69 – 59 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LUC | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-10 | 11-7 |
| Away | 1-10 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 68.5 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#289) | 1.8 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#302) | 0.46 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.77 (#325) | 0.59 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#316) | 0.532 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LUC | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.6% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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