Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | VT -175 STAN +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +1 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | VT -5.9 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.4 (-20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VT -3.6 (-4.6) | 150.8 (-13.8) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -6.0 (-7.0) | 148.5 (-11.5) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VT -6.1 (-7.1) | 148.7 (-11.7) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -5.1 (-6.1) | 151.8 (-14.8) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2025 | STAN 70 – 59 VT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-6 |
| Away | 3-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#61) | 8.0 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#36) | 1.88 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.02 (#41) | 2.56 (#59) |
| RPI | 0.626 (#24) | 0.590 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 33.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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