Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | CLEM -192 SMU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +4 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -1.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.5 (-11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -3.1 (+0.9) | 143.8 (+0.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -2.1 (+1.9) | 145.8 (-1.8) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -1.9 (+2.1) | 144.2 (-0.2) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -2.0 (+2.0) | 146.7 (-2.7) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2025 | CLEM 57 – 54 SMU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CLEM 79 – 69 SMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 15-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 84.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 77.9 |
| Massey | 13.9 (#36) | 16.5 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.55 (#29) | 3.32 (#19) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.22 (#32) | 4.10 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.610 (#30) | 0.662 (#12) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 50.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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