Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | MSST -115 OU -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSST +19 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | OU -0.6 (+19.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.5 (-39.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSST -1.4 (+17.6) | 157.1 (-32.1) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSST -0.3 (+18.7) | 153.1 (-28.1) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSST -1.6 (+17.4) | 154.6 (-29.6) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSST -0.2 (+18.8) | 154.7 (-29.7) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | OU 93 – 87 MSST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSST | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 21-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-8 | 11-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 82.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.8 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#97) | 10.6 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#82) | 2.66 (#28) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#85) | 3.51 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#77) | 0.542 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSST | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 41.1 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 57.0% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 13.2% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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