Virgil Cain is my name and I served on the Danville train. "The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down"-The Band
Mountain West Conference · ExtraMile Arena · January 8, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread BOIS -8.5 Away covered
O/U 140.5 Under
Money BOIS -395 / GCU +310
Model Predictions
Spread Total BOIS win
Actual GCU +17 133 Lost
Massey BOIS -10.5 (-27.5)
Massey Totals 138.1 (-5.1)
Bradley-Terry 91%
Weighted B-T 94%
Baseline Plus ML BOIS -9.3 (-26.3) 141.6 (-8.6) 81%
Model 4 ML BOIS -10.1 (-27.1) 141.3 (-8.3) 85%
Model 3 ML BOIS -9.4 (-26.4) 137.9 (-4.9) 82%
Baseline ML BOIS -9.0 (-26.0) 138.9 (-5.9) 80%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 GCU 8669 BOIS

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BOIS GCU
Overall 20-12 20-12
Conference 12-8 13-7
Home 12-4 13-4
Away 6-5 6-5
Neutral 1-3 1-3
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 77.4 75.6
Avg Pts Against 73.2 68.7
Massey 11.5 (#48) 4.8 (#110)
Bradley-Terry 2.22 (#42) 0.51 (#127)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.77 (#52) 0.65 (#134)
RPI 0.637 (#18) 0.511 (#150)
Shooting & Four Factors BOIS GCU
FG% 42.3% 44.4%
3PT% 33.8% 30.3%
REB / G 37.7 36.7
OREB / G 10.8 11.5
AST / TO 1.02 1.08
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.5% 50.1%
TOV% 17.2% 17.7%
ORB% 31.2% 34.1%
FT Rate 32.4% 30.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.1% 49.2%
Opp TOV% 15.6% 18.8%
DRB% 77.8% 74.7%
Opp FT Rate 25.5% 25.3%

Game Analysis

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