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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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43–8 on winners spread MAE 9.2 56 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Navy @ North Carolina +19.5 152.5 89% 61–73 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Delaware +4.4 134.2 58% 70–81 ✓
NJIT @ Drexel +4.4 138.5 70% 43–75 ✓
Towson @ James Madison +0.4 133.8 45% 75–81 ✓
New Haven @ Seton Hall +20.6 126.9 90% 45–68 ✓
New Hampshire @ Providence +16.0 152.4 89% 66–98 ✓
UT Martin @ Florida State +11.8 157.9 85% 73–87 ✓
Radford @ South Carolina +15.5 158.6 85% 58–87 ✓
Princeton @ Iona +7.9 151.8 76% 69–89 ✓
Old Dominion @ Xavier +7.5 138.4 83% 69–99 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Detroit Mercy +0.0 149.6 44% 72–62 ✗
Jacksonville @ George Mason +12.1 134.0 86% 57–79 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Longwood +12.7 134.8 89% 83–82 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Kent State +10.9 156.6 86% 78–93 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Charleston Southern +2.6 160.6 70% 91–103 ✓
East Carolina @ UNC Wilmington — — — 60–85 —
Boston University @ Columbia +6.7 135.6 76% 49–54 ✓
Hampton @ Boston College +9.4 138.4 77% 52–63 ✓
Holy Cross @ Brown +0.3 134.7 51% 49–68 ✓
Saint Francis @ Lehigh +13.4 142.0 86% 62–79 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Georgia Tech +8.8 154.5 81% 66–68 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Morgan State +2.5 150.3 70% 79–73 ✗
Winthrop @ Arkansas +7.1 156.9 78% 83–84 ✓
Alcorn State @ LSU +26.9 153.4 91% 81–107 ✓
Austin Peay @ Ole Miss +10.4 134.3 85% 65–72 ✓
Montana @ Texas A&M +5.1 158.7 78% 81–86 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ DePaul +14.0 143.8 89% 62–93 ✓
Little Rock @ Murray State +20.0 148.4 90% 68–89 ✓
UT Arlington @ Evansville — — — 84–76 —
Abilene Christian @ Texas State +1.3 134.6 58% 49–63 ✓
Chicago State @ Minnesota +20.4 140.2 91% 54–66 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Northern Iowa +16.6 137.3 88% 57–70 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ SMU +21.7 156.4 90% 60–106 ✓
Rhode Island @ Yale +17.3 149.9 89% 86–77 ✗
Army @ Cornell +17.7 150.3 90% 73–86 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Iowa +17.8 142.4 89% 70–99 ✓
Kansas @ Duke +10.7 144.8 85% 66–78 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Fresno State -3.2 138.8 39% 78–80 ✗
Grambling @ San Diego +4.8 136.9 72% 68–78 ✓
Wichita State @ Boise State +5.5 143.9 74% 59–62 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Utah +13.1 157.1 83% 77–85 ✓
Monmouth @ Syracuse +23.2 133.8 90% 73–78 ✓
Rider @ Texas — — — 65–99 —
New Orleans @ Pepperdine — — — 79–90 —
Southern @ Washington +21.6 155.0 90% 93–99 ✓
Northwestern State @ San Francisco +19.9 143.5 89% 64–84 ✓
UC Davis @ Nevada +11.0 141.6 83% 75–71 ✗
Troy @ San Diego State +12.4 140.8 83% 108–107 ✗
Idaho State @ Santa Clara +13.6 133.9 85% 55–64 ✓
UC Riverside @ California Baptist +10.0 137.3 85% 57–80 ✓
Louisiana @ Stanford +19.9 134.7 89% 66–93 ✓
Presbyterian @ California +17.1 140.5 88% 57–67 ✓
Sacramento State @ UCLA +17.5 138.5 89% 48–79 ✓
Alabama State @ Air Force -1.0 139.2 42% 64–66 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Michigan — — — 61–86 —
Harvard @ Penn State +18.9 134.8 89% 80–84 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.